North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #6
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 42.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 82.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 9/4 9/11 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/5 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 222 231 221 214 835 368 240 221 764 224 220 282 263
Team Adjusted Rating 216 221 214 222 256 240 221 222 195 220 240 263
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
34  Maddie Rocchio 10 19:10 19:12 19:24 19:07 19:09 19:12 19:08 19:02 19:07 19:14
68  Sophia Tipmore 11 19:31 19:46 19:18 19:22 19:52 19:37 19:30 19:12 19:40
74  Mary Edwards 11 19:36 20:38 20:06 20:09 19:57 20:04 19:10 19:44 19:56 20:07
109  Sami Tezera 10 19:49 19:41 19:28 19:35 19:52 19:51 19:37 19:57 19:52 20:09
122  Emma Vatnsdal 11 19:52 19:34 19:38 19:37 19:52 19:33 19:50 20:33 20:00 19:56
177  Claire Ekienberry 10 20:13 20:00 20:32 20:30 21:11 19:52 19:58 20:33 20:04
201  Rahiwa Tezera 12 20:22 20:36 20:10 20:10 20:06 20:03 20:33 20:14 20:46 20:43
219  Eleanor Hostetler 11 20:27 20:05 20:24 20:07 20:37 20:22 20:51
363  Reagan Shaar 12 21:05 20:52 20:47 20:47 21:18 20:52 22:29
370  Raionce Rodney 12 21:06 21:06 21:12 20:47 20:52 20:58 22:04
437  Margot Grotland 11 21:20 21:37 21:05
531  Anna Youtsey 11 21:35 21:48 21:31 21:44 31:52 21:23 20:54
638  Ruby Rogers 9 21:52 22:58 21:48 22:06 21:49 21:51 21:14 22:03
651  Kaelina Matthews 9 21:55 21:04 22:42 21:49 21:47
675  Isabel Tipmore 9 21:59 23:00 21:38 22:30 22:44 21:52 21:43 21:31
781  Lilah Wilson 9 22:15 22:04 22:05 22:50 22:05 22:13 22:16 22:15
869  Baylie Clements 10 22:25 22:03 22:38
1,085  Nyla Mitchell 10 22:52 22:53 22:56 22:30 22:51 23:04
1,116  Zoe Munn 12 22:56 23:27 23:25 22:34 22:53 22:54 22:49
1,135  Mia Rivas 11 22:59 22:15 22:56 23:17
1,168  Gracie Phillips 11 23:03 23:07 22:53 23:08 23:01
1,215  Ellen Osterman 12 23:09 22:49 23:25 23:06 32:12 22:58 22:49
1,282  Anna Brames 9 23:17 24:14 23:22 22:45 22:22 24:01
Sophie Farnum 9 24:08 26:19 25:35 23:46 23:30 23:55
Emma Rodgers 11 24:17 23:08 24:56
Elle Bryant 9 24:28 23:27 24:40 24:35
Madison Jackson 9 24:34 24:48 25:25 23:33 24:31
Lainey Deetz 9 26:46 23:23 26:32 26:51 27:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 7.0 243 0.5 3.3 13.0 13.6 11.8 10.4 9.4 7.7 6.6 5.9 4.9 3.9 2.9 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.5 115 3.5 21.9 29.8 22.5 14.4 5.9 2.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 91 1.8 26.7 40.3 31.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 38 100.0 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.5 89.1%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 65.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 46.4%
Mary Edwards 100% 72.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 35.5%
Sami Tezera 100% 95.2 0.0 0.0 12.7%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 101.4 0.0 0.0 9.0%
Claire Ekienberry 100% 130.3 0.5%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 140.8 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 100% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.8 7.1 9.7 10.0 10.0 8.5 7.3 6.5 5.7 4.6 3.8 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.3 3.7 4.3 4.0 3.9 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.6 3.0 2.9 3.5 3.4 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.0 100.0%
Sami Tezera 100% 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.5 99.8%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 39.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 99.7%
Claire Ekienberry 100% 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 94.1%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 66.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 100% 9.7 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 4.4 12.5 20.7 14.3 11.6 8.3 6.7 5.1 4.0 3.5 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.5 5.7 6.4 7.4 7.4 7.9 8.0 7.8 8.1 7.0 6.1 5.1 4.1 3.1 2.9 1.8 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 3.8 4.3 5.1 5.9 6.7 7.6 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.8 6.5 5.5 4.9 4.0 3.6 100.0%
Sami Tezera 100% 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.9 4.3 6.0 6.7 6.6 7.7 7.8 7.6 7.0 100.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 23.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.3 6.4 7.2 7.6 7.5 7.4 100.0%
Claire Ekienberry 100% 30.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.3 100.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 4.6 0.1 5.9 77.1 13.7 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Sophia Tipmore 6.3 0.1 6.0 35.1 30.4 17.6 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.1
Mary Edwards 6.8 0.0 2.4 22.6 30.2 24.1 12.4 5.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Sami Tezera 8.6 0.1 3.1 9.5 19.9 27.4 23.2 10.2 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Vatnsdal 9.1 0.1 1.8 5.8 13.8 25.5 28.6 14.6 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Claire Ekienberry 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 8.0 23.9 23.6 19.1 11.3 5.4 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Rahiwa Tezera 12.9 0.2 0.5 2.3 9.7 17.4 21.7 20.2 11.7 7.3 3.8 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1